Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Sparta Prague — Trinec
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Sparta Prague are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.
Why
- Sparta Prague are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sparta Prague — Trinec | 2.8–2.3 | |
| Sparta Prague to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 59% | |
| Trinec to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 41% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 44% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Sparta Prague
- Sparta Prague goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Vitkovice3:0
- 08.10Kometa Brno3:4 OT
- 04.10away · Pardubice4:6
- 01.10Ceske Budejovice4:2
- 29.09away · Mountfield HK3:4
- 11.10away · Pardubice4:5 OT
- 09.10Mountfield HK5:2
- 04.10away · Olomouc9:0
- 02.10Litvinov3:2
- 29.09Kladno6:4
Head to head
- 11.01.2026Trinec — Sparta Prague5:3
- 30.11.2025Trinec — Sparta Prague1:2
- 21.10.2025Sparta Prague — Trinec1:4
- 12.09.2025Sparta Prague — Trinec5:2
- 24.03.2025Sparta Prague — Trinec3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Trinec | 10 | 9 | +26 | 28 |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Pardubice | 11 | 8 | +16 | 26 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kladno | 10 | 3 | -3 | 15 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Sparta Prague | 10 | 4 | +3 | 14 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Liberec | 10 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
Czech Extraliga on the same day
- 43572The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.4
- 70301The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.7
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.2
- 49512The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
- 29712The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 1:35.2
- 44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →