Olomouc — Pardubice
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Pardubice are clear favourites: 71% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.
Why
- Pardubice are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Olomouc — Pardubice | 2.0–3.1 | |
| Olomouc to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 29% | |
| Pardubice to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 71% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 46% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Olomouc
- Olomouc goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10away · Mountfield HK1:3
- 09.10away · Litvinov1:3
- 04.10Trinec0:9
- 02.10away · Liberec0:2
- 29.09Vitkovice3:4
- 11.10Trinec5:4 OT
- 09.10away · Vitkovice3:2
- 04.10Sparta Prague6:4
- 02.10Plzen4:2
- 29.09Ceske Budejovice5:2
Head to head
- 23.01.2026Olomouc — Pardubice2:3
- 17.12.2025Pardubice — Olomouc4:5 OT
- 26.10.2025Olomouc — Pardubice2:1 OT
- 19.09.2025Pardubice — Olomouc3:1
- 29.01.2025Pardubice — Olomouc1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Trinec | 10 | 9 | +26 | 28 |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Pardubice | 11 | 8 | +16 | 26 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Karlovy Vary | 9 | 6 | +6 | 18 |
| 13 | Vitkovice | 9 | 2 | -11 | 7 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Olomouc | 10 | 1 | -18 | 5 |
Czech Extraliga on the same day
- 43572The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.4
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- 70301The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.7
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.2
- 49512The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
- 44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →