Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Kometa Brno — Liberec
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Close to a coin flip: Kometa Brno 49%, Liberec 51% including overtime.
5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 43%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.5.
Facts
- League table: Kometa Brno — No. 11, 11 pts; Liberec — No. 9, 14 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Kometa Brno 1 win, Liberec 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kometa Brno — Liberec | 2.5–2.5 | |
| Kometa Brno to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Liberec to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 43% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 57% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Kometa Brno
- Kometa Brno goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Plzen1:2 OT
- 08.10away · Sparta Prague4:3 OT
- 05.10away · Ceske Budejovice1:5
- 02.10Mlada Boleslav3:2 SO
- 27.09Pardubice3:5
- 11.10away · Ceske Budejovice3:4
- 09.10Karlovy Vary5:0
- 04.10away · Mlada Boleslav5:3
- 02.10Olomouc2:0
- 29.09away · Litvinov4:5 SO
Head to head
- 23.01.2026Liberec — Kometa Brno4:0
- 19.12.2025Kometa Brno — Liberec3:1
- 26.10.2025Liberec — Kometa Brno4:3
- 19.09.2025Kometa Brno — Liberec4:5
- 26.01.2025Liberec — Kometa Brno5:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Sparta Prague | 10 | 4 | +3 | 14 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Liberec | 10 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Litvinov | 10 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
| 11, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kometa Brno | 9 | 2 | -3 | 11 |
| 12, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Mlada Boleslav | 10 | 2 | -13 | 9 |
Czech Extraliga on the same day
- 43572The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.4
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- 70301The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.7
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.2
- 29712The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 1:35.2
- 44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →