Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Litvinov — Karlovy Vary
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Karlovy Vary are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 34%.
Why
- Karlovy Vary are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 2.1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Litvinov — Karlovy Vary | 2.1–2.4 | |
| Litvinov to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| Karlovy Vary to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 34% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 66% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Litvinov
- Litvinov goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Mlada Boleslav1:2
- 09.10Olomouc3:1
- 04.10Kladno2:3 OT
- 02.10away · Trinec2:3
- 29.09Liberec5:4 SO
- 11.10Kladno3:1
- 09.10away · Liberec0:5
- 04.10Plzen4:1
- 02.10away · Vitkovice3:0
- 28.09away · Sparta Prague1:0
Head to head
- 11.01.2026Karlovy Vary — Litvinov3:4 SO
- 30.11.2025Litvinov — Karlovy Vary1:2
- 17.10.2025Karlovy Vary — Litvinov3:0
- 12.09.2025Litvinov — Karlovy Vary0:4
- 12.02.2025Karlovy Vary — Litvinov6:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Pardubice | 11 | 8 | +16 | 26 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Karlovy Vary | 9 | 6 | +6 | 18 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Plzen | 10 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Liberec | 10 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Litvinov | 10 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
| 11, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kometa Brno | 9 | 2 | -3 | 11 |
Czech Extraliga on the same day
- 43572The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.4
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- 70301The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.7
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.2
- 49512The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
- 29712The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 1:35.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →