Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Mlada Boleslav — Mountfield HK
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Mountfield HK are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 32%.
Why
- Mountfield HK are more dangerous in attack: 2.3 expected goals against 2.0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mlada Boleslav — Mountfield HK | 2.0–2.4 | |
| Mlada Boleslav to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 43% | |
| Mountfield HK to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 57% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 32% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 68% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Mlada Boleslav
- Mlada Boleslav goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Litvinov2:1
- 09.10away · Kladno3:4
- 04.10Liberec3:5
- 02.10away · Kometa Brno2:3 SO
- 29.09Plzen1:4
- 11.10Olomouc3:1
- 09.10away · Trinec2:5
- 04.10Vitkovice3:2 OT
- 02.10away · Kladno4:3 SO
- 29.09Sparta Prague4:3
Head to head
- 06.03.2026Mountfield HK — Mlada Boleslav3:1
- 13.01.2026Mlada Boleslav — Mountfield HK2:0
- 25.11.2025Mountfield HK — Mlada Boleslav0:1 SO
- 10.10.2025Mlada Boleslav — Mountfield HK2:3 SO
- 28.03.2025Mountfield HK — Mlada Boleslav3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Plzen | 10 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Mountfield HK | 10 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 6, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Ceske Budejovice | 10 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
| 11, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kometa Brno | 9 | 2 | -3 | 11 |
| 12, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Mlada Boleslav | 10 | 2 | -13 | 9 |
| 13 | Vitkovice | 9 | 2 | -11 | 7 |
Czech Extraliga on the same day
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- 70301The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.7
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.2
- 49512The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
- 29712The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 1:35.2
- 44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →