DEL (German hockey league) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Krefeld Pinguine — Munchen
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Krefeld Pinguine 52%, Munchen 48% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.6.
Facts
- League table: Krefeld Pinguine — No. 8, 12 pts; Munchen — No. 4, 15 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Krefeld Pinguine — Munchen | 2.7–2.6 | |
| Krefeld Pinguine to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Munchen to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Krefeld Pinguine
- Krefeld Pinguine goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Augsburger Panther1:2
- 08.10away · Frankfurt Lowen5:2
- 04.10away · Iserlohn Roosters2:3
- 02.10ERC Ingolstadt3:1
- 27.09Schwenninger5:2
- 11.10away · Schwenninger4:3
- 09.10ERC Ingolstadt1:5
- 04.10Augsburger Panther4:2
- 02.10away · Kolner4:2
- 27.09Frankfurt Lowen1:4
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 9 | 5 | +6 | 16 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Munchen | 8 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Straubing Tigers | 8 | 4 | +8 | 14 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Grizzly Wolfsburg | 8 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Krefeld Pinguine | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kolner | 8 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
DEL on the same day
- Frankfurt LowenGrizzly Wolfsburgpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
- SchwenningerEisbaren Berlinpreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.5
- Augsburger PantherStraubing Tigerspreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:46.0
- Iserlohn RoostersNurnberg Ice Tigerspreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.4
- BremerhavenERC Ingolstadtpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →