NHL · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Los Angeles Kings — Buffalo Sabres

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Model prediction for 31 October

Los Angeles Kings38%
Draw in regulation24%
Buffalo Sabres39%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Los Angeles Kings 49%, Buffalo Sabres 51% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.7.

Facts

  • League table: Los Angeles Kings — No. 31, 2 pts; Buffalo Sabres — No. 19, 7 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Los Angeles Kings: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Los Angeles Kings 1 win, Buffalo Sabres 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Los Angeles Kings — Buffalo Sabres2.6–2.7
Los Angeles Kings to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Buffalo Sabres to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)50%

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Form

Los Angeles Kings

  • 14.10Edmonton Oilers1:4
  • 11.10away · Vegas Golden Knights1:2 OT
  • 07.10Florida Panthers1:2
  • 04.10away · San Jose Sharks4:5 OT
  • 01.10away · Colorado Avalanche4:8

Buffalo Sabres

  • 14.10away · Montreal Canadiens3:4 SO
  • 12.10Florida Panthers5:3
  • 11.10Utah Mammoth1:4
  • 09.10Dallas Stars0:4
  • 07.10Minnesota Wild3:2 OT

Head to head

  • 21.03.2026Los Angeles Kings — Buffalo Sabres1:4
  • 30.01.2026Buffalo Sabres — Los Angeles Kings4:1
  • 21.11.2024Los Angeles Kings — Buffalo Sabres0:1
  • 11.10.2024Buffalo Sabres — Los Angeles Kings1:3
  • 14.02.2024Buffalo Sabres — Los Angeles Kings7:0

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
18Montreal Canadiens631219–22-37
19Buffalo Sabres731319–26-77
20New York Islanders630319–15+46
30Philadelphia Flyers803510–31-213
31Los Angeles Kings502311–21-102
32Calgary Flames610512–29-172

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →