NHL · Sunday, 4 October, MSK · Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators — Dallas Stars
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:1Missed
In short
Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Dallas Stars to win (53% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 53% fails in about 47 matches out of 100 on average.
Dallas Stars are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 53%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.9.
- Dallas Stars: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.
Facts
- Nashville Predators: 3 defeats in a row; Dallas Stars: 4 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Nashville Predators 1 win, Dallas Stars 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Nashville Predators — Dallas Stars | 2.7–2.9 | |
| Nashville Predators to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Dallas Stars to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 53% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 47% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Nashville Predators
- Nashville Predators goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 02.10Minnesota Wild1:3
- 17.04Anaheim Ducks4:5
- 14.04San Jose Sharks2:3
- 12.04Minnesota Wild2:1
- 10.04away · Utah Mammoth1:4
- 03.10St. Louis Blues0:4
- 01.05away · Minnesota Wild2:5
- 29.04Minnesota Wild2:4
- 26.04away · Minnesota Wild2:3 OT
- 23.04away · Minnesota Wild4:3 OT
Head to head
- 01.03.2026Dallas Stars — Nashville Predators3:2 OT
- 08.11.2025Nashville Predators — Dallas Stars4:5
- 27.10.2025Nashville Predators — Dallas Stars2:3
- 17.04.2025Nashville Predators — Dallas Stars5:1
- 04.04.2025Dallas Stars — Nashville Predators5:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Washington Capitals | 6 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 22 | Nashville Predators | 6 | 2 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 | New Jersey Devils | 6 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
| 24 | San Jose Sharks | 6 | 3 | -7 | 6 |
| 25 | Dallas Stars | 6 | 2 | +2 | 5 |
| 26 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 5 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
Next matches
- Dallas StarsSan Jose Sharks6 October · NHL67331The most likely outcome came true: 121%5:0Final score 5:0. Model's score: 5:2.5.7
- Toronto Maple LeafsNashville Predators7 October · NHL53471The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:4OTFinal score 5:4 in overtime. Model's score: 5:2.5.6
NHL on the same day
- 73271The most likely outcome came true: 119%4:3Final score 4:3. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 49512The most likely outcome came true: 222%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:3.5.9
- 60401The most likely outcome came true: 121%3:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 5:2.6.3
- 48522The most likely outcome came true: 223%2:3OTFinal score 2:3 in overtime. Model's score: 2:3.5.6
- 53471The most likely outcome came true: 122%6:5OTFinal score 6:5 in overtime. Model's score: 5:2.6.3
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 121%3:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 44562The most likely outcome came true: 222%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:5.6.0
- 54461The most likely outcome came true: 123%6:0Final score 6:0. Model's score: 3:2.5.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →