NHL · Friday, 23 October, MSK

New Jersey Devils — Anaheim Ducks

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Model prediction for 23 October

New Jersey Devils41%
Draw in regulation23%
Anaheim Ducks36%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: New Jersey Devils 53%, Anaheim Ducks 47% including overtime.

5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 2.8.

Facts

  • League table: New Jersey Devils — No. 23, 6 pts; Anaheim Ducks — No. 12, 8 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: New Jersey Devils 2 wins, Anaheim Ducks 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: New Jersey Devils — Anaheim Ducks2.9–2.8
New Jersey Devils to win (incl. OT and shootout)53%
Anaheim Ducks to win (incl. OT and shootout)47%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)57%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)43%

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Form

New Jersey Devils

  • 14.10away · Detroit Red Wings5:4 OT
  • 13.10Ottawa Senators1:4
  • 10.10Vancouver Canucks4:1
  • 07.10Utah Mammoth3:5
  • 04.10away · New York Islanders0:6

Anaheim Ducks

  • 14.10Calgary Flames2:4
  • 11.10away · Calgary Flames4:2
  • 10.10away · Winnipeg Jets5:1
  • 08.10Edmonton Oilers2:5
  • 05.10Florida Panthers3:2 OT

Head to head

  • 13.12.2025New Jersey Devils — Anaheim Ducks4:1
  • 03.11.2025Anaheim Ducks — New Jersey Devils4:1
  • 01.01.2025Anaheim Ducks — New Jersey Devils3:2
  • 28.10.2024New Jersey Devils — Anaheim Ducks6:2
  • 02.03.2024Anaheim Ducks — New Jersey Devils4:3

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceColorado Avalanche640229–19+108
12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceAnaheim Ducks640220–17+38
13, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionTampa Bay Lightning640217–16+18
22Nashville Predators622216–19-36
23New Jersey Devils630316–22-66
24San Jose Sharks630316–23-76

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →