NHL · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Ottawa Senators — New York Rangers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Ottawa Senators are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.5.
Facts
- League table: Ottawa Senators — No. 8, 10 pts; New York Rangers — No. 2, 12 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Ottawa Senators 3 wins, New York Rangers 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ottawa Senators — New York Rangers | 2.7–2.5 | |
| Ottawa Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| New York Rangers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Ottawa Senators
- Ottawa Senators goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10St. Louis Blues2:7
- 13.10away · New Jersey Devils4:1
- 11.10Nashville Predators3:2 SO
- 09.10Philadelphia Flyers2:1
- 07.10away · Detroit Red Wings3:5
- 14.10Tampa Bay Lightning4:1
- 12.10Vancouver Canucks6:2
- 10.10away · Washington Capitals1:3
- 07.10New York Islanders5:2
- 05.10Utah Mammoth4:2
Head to head
- 24.03.2026New York Rangers — Ottawa Senators1:2
- 15.01.2026New York Rangers — Ottawa Senators4:8
- 05.12.2025Ottawa Senators — New York Rangers2:4
- 08.03.2025Ottawa Senators — New York Rangers4:3 OT
- 22.01.2025New York Rangers — Ottawa Senators5:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Carolina Hurricanes | 8 | 6 | +12 | 13 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 8 | 6 | +13 | 12 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 7 | 5 | +8 | 10 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Ottawa Senators | 7 | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Minnesota Wild | 7 | 4 | +5 | 9 |
NHL on the same day
- Boston BruinsSan Jose Sharkspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:25.8
- Columbus Blue JacketsVegas Golden Knightspreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.6
- Edmonton OilersToronto Maple Leafspreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 5:26.3
- Pittsburgh PenguinsNashville Predatorspreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:25.9
- St. Louis BluesCarolina Hurricanespreliminary39612The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.3
- Washington CapitalsBuffalo Sabrespreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.6
- Utah MammothTampa Bay Lightningpreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.8
- Calgary FlamesDetroit Red Wingspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →