Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Plzen — Vitkovice
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Plzen are clear favourites: 70% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 37%.
Why
- Plzen are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 1.8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Plzen — Vitkovice | 2.8–1.8 | |
| Plzen to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 70% | |
| Vitkovice to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 30% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 37% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 63% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Plzen
- Plzen goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Kometa Brno2:1 OT
- 08.10Ceske Budejovice4:1
- 04.10away · Karlovy Vary1:4
- 02.10away · Pardubice2:4
- 29.09away · Mlada Boleslav4:1
- 11.10away · Sparta Prague0:3
- 09.10Pardubice2:3
- 04.10away · Mountfield HK2:3 OT
- 02.10Karlovy Vary0:3
- 29.09away · Olomouc4:3
Head to head
- 06.03.2026Plzen — Vitkovice5:2
- 06.01.2026Vitkovice — Plzen4:6
- 17.12.2025Vitkovice — Plzen1:3
- 26.11.2025Plzen — Vitkovice7:0
- 26.01.2025Plzen — Vitkovice4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Karlovy Vary | 9 | 6 | +6 | 18 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Plzen | 10 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Mountfield HK | 10 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 12, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Mlada Boleslav | 10 | 2 | -13 | 9 |
| 13 | Vitkovice | 9 | 2 | -11 | 7 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Olomouc | 10 | 1 | -18 | 5 |
Czech Extraliga on the same day
- 43572The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.4
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.2
- 49512The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
- 29712The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 1:35.2
- 44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →