DEL (German hockey league) · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Helios Arena
Schwenninger — Munchen
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:4Came true
In short
Final score 3:4: the model's most likely outcome, Munchen to win (61% incl. overtime), came true.
Munchen are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- Munchen are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Schwenninger — Munchen | 2.4–2.9 | |
| Schwenninger to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 39% | |
| Munchen to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 61% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Schwenninger
- Schwenninger goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Kolner4:1
- 04.10Straubing Tigers2:4
- 02.10away · Nurnberg Ice Tigers0:5
- 27.09away · Krefeld Pinguine2:5
- 25.09away · Grizzly Wolfsburg4:3 OT
- 09.10ERC Ingolstadt1:5
- 04.10Augsburger Panther4:2
- 02.10away · Kolner4:2
- 27.09Frankfurt Lowen1:4
- 25.09away · Bremerhaven4:1
Head to head
- 27.01.2026Schwenninger — Munchen3:1
- 18.12.2025Munchen — Schwenninger3:1
- 26.10.2025Munchen — Schwenninger5:4
- 05.10.2025Schwenninger — Munchen4:2
- 13.02.2025Munchen — Schwenninger5:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 9 | 5 | +6 | 16 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Munchen | 8 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Straubing Tigers | 8 | 4 | +8 | 14 |
| 13 | Iserlohn Roosters | 8 | 1 | -17 | 6 |
| 14, Relegation | Schwenninger | 8 | 1 | -16 | 5 |
Next matches
- SchwenningerERC Ingolstadt16 October · DEL42582The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.8
- Eisbaren BerlinMunchen16 October · DEL57431The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
DEL on the same day
- 72281The most likely outcome did not happen: 118%2:3SOFinal score 2:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 4:2.5.8
- 75251The most likely outcome did not happen: 117%1:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 4:2.6.2
- 49512The most likely outcome came true: 222%0:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 2:3.5.3
- 45552The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%3:2OTFinal score 3:2 in overtime. Model's score: 2:3.5.3
- 62381The most likely outcome came true: 120%4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 4:2, exactly right.5.9
- 57431The most likely outcome came true: 121%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 4:2.5.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →