NHL · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues — San Jose Sharks
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2:3 OTMissed
In short
Final score 2:3 OT: the model's most likely outcome, St. Louis Blues to win (60% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 60% fails in about 40 matches out of 100 on average.
St. Louis Blues are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- St. Louis Blues are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: St. Louis Blues — San Jose Sharks | 3.0–2.4 | |
| St. Louis Blues to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| San Jose Sharks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap St. Louis Blues
- St. Louis Blues goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 07.10away · Chicago Blackhawks2:4
- 04.10away · Colorado Avalanche1:6
- 03.10away · Dallas Stars4:0
- 17.04away · Utah Mammoth5:3
- 15.04Pittsburgh Penguins7:5
- 06.10away · Dallas Stars0:5
- 04.10Los Angeles Kings5:4 OT
- 02.10Florida Panthers4:3 OT
- 17.04away · Winnipeg Jets6:1
- 16.04away · Chicago Blackhawks2:5
Head to head
- 31.03.2026San Jose Sharks — St. Louis Blues5:4
- 27.03.2026St. Louis Blues — San Jose Sharks2:1 OT
- 07.03.2026San Jose Sharks — St. Louis Blues2:3 OT
- 13.12.2024St. Louis Blues — San Jose Sharks3:4
- 22.11.2024St. Louis Blues — San Jose Sharks3:2 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Pittsburgh Penguins | 7 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 16 | St. Louis Blues | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 17, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 7 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 23 | New Jersey Devils | 6 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
| 24 | San Jose Sharks | 6 | 3 | -7 | 6 |
| 25 | Dallas Stars | 6 | 2 | +2 | 5 |
Next matches
- San Jose SharksEdmonton Oilers10 October · NHL39612The most likely outcome came true: 221%1:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: 2:5.6.4
- St. Louis BluesColumbus Blue Jackets11 October · NHL55451The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:3Final score 5:3. Model's score: 5:2.5.7
NHL on the same day
- 47532The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%6:1Final score 6:1. Model's score: 1:4.5.6
- 50501The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%0:4Final score 0:4. Model's score: 4:1.5.5
- 71291The most likely outcome came true: 120%7:2Final score 7:2. Model's score: 5:2.5.9
- 56441The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 5:2.5.7
- 63371The most likely outcome came true: 123%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 4:1.5.1
- 54461The most likely outcome came true: 123%3:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 4:1.5.5
- 64361The most likely outcome came true: 123%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 4:1, exactly right.5.2
- 36642The most likely outcome came true: 223%3:7Final score 3:7. Model's score: 1:4.5.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →