NHL · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Tampa Bay Lightning — Seattle Kraken
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Tampa Bay Lightning are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- Tampa Bay Lightning are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Tampa Bay Lightning — No. 13, 8 pts; Seattle Kraken — No. 5, 10 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Seattle Kraken: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Tampa Bay Lightning 4 wins, Seattle Kraken 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning — Seattle Kraken | 3.1–2.4 | |
| Tampa Bay Lightning to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 63% | |
| Seattle Kraken to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 37% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Tampa Bay Lightning
- Tampa Bay Lightning goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 14.10away · New York Rangers1:4
- 11.10away · New York Islanders5:3
- 09.10Minnesota Wild3:2
- 06.10Philadelphia Flyers4:1
- 04.10Washington Capitals3:1
- 14.10away · Philadelphia Flyers3:2 SO
- 12.10away · Washington Capitals5:3
- 10.10away · Detroit Red Wings6:3
- 07.10Vegas Golden Knights2:6
- 05.10Calgary Flames6:1
Head to head
- 27.03.2026Tampa Bay Lightning — Seattle Kraken3:4 OT
- 18.03.2026Seattle Kraken — Tampa Bay Lightning2:6
- 24.02.2025Tampa Bay Lightning — Seattle Kraken4:1
- 15.12.2024Seattle Kraken — Tampa Bay Lightning1:5
- 10.12.2023Seattle Kraken — Tampa Bay Lightning3:4 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 6 | 5 | +11 | 11 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Seattle Kraken | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Anaheim Ducks | 6 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Tampa Bay Lightning | 6 | 4 | +1 | 8 |
| 14, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Florida Panthers | 7 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
NHL on the same day
- 66341The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:25.8
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.2
- 57431The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
- 45552The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:56.0
- 52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:14.9
- 40602The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.2
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →