NHL · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK

Vancouver Canucks — Carolina Hurricanes

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Model prediction for 21 October

Vancouver Canucks21%
Draw in regulation20%
Carolina Hurricanes59%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Carolina Hurricanes are clear favourites: 73% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 59%.

Why

  • Carolina Hurricanes are more dangerous in attack: 3.6 expected goals against 2.3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Vancouver Canucks — Carolina Hurricanes2.3–3.6
Vancouver Canucks to win (incl. OT and shootout)27%
Carolina Hurricanes to win (incl. OT and shootout)73%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)59%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)41%

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Form

Vancouver Canucks

  • 14.10away · New York Islanders2:3
  • 12.10away · New York Rangers2:6
  • 10.10away · New Jersey Devils1:4
  • 09.10away · Carolina Hurricanes2:7
  • 05.10Vegas Golden Knights2:3

Carolina Hurricanes

  • 14.10Washington Capitals4:2
  • 12.10away · Philadelphia Flyers4:1
  • 11.10away · Chicago Blackhawks5:2
  • 09.10Vancouver Canucks7:2
  • 07.10away · Montreal Canadiens6:4

Head to head

  • 09.10.2026Carolina Hurricanes — Vancouver Canucks7:2
  • 05.03.2026Vancouver Canucks — Carolina Hurricanes4:6
  • 15.11.2025Carolina Hurricanes — Vancouver Canucks4:3 OT
  • 11.01.2025Carolina Hurricanes — Vancouver Canucks2:0
  • 29.10.2024Vancouver Canucks — Carolina Hurricanes3:4 OT

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionCarolina Hurricanes861131–19+1213
2, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionNew York Rangers860227–14+1312
27Detroit Red Wings612314–20-64
28Vancouver Canucks820626–38-124
29Chicago Blackhawks720517–29-124

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →