NHL · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Washington Capitals — Los Angeles Kings
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Washington Capitals are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.1 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.
Why
- Washington Capitals are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Washington Capitals — Los Angeles Kings | 2.7–2.4 | |
| Washington Capitals to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Los Angeles Kings to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 47% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Washington Capitals
- Washington Capitals goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10away · Carolina Hurricanes2:4
- 12.10Seattle Kraken3:5
- 10.10New York Rangers3:1
- 08.10Pittsburgh Penguins5:3
- 04.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning1:3
- 11.10away · Vegas Golden Knights1:2 OT
- 07.10Florida Panthers1:2
- 04.10away · San Jose Sharks4:5 OT
- 01.10away · Colorado Avalanche4:8
- 26.04Colorado Avalanche1:5
Head to head
- 03.12.2025Los Angeles Kings — Washington Capitals1:3
- 18.11.2025Washington Capitals — Los Angeles Kings2:1
- 14.03.2025Los Angeles Kings — Washington Capitals3:0
- 23.12.2024Washington Capitals — Los Angeles Kings3:1
- 07.01.2024Washington Capitals — Los Angeles Kings4:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Colorado Avalanche | 5 | 3 | +9 | 6 |
| 19 | Washington Capitals | 6 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 20 | Nashville Predators | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 28 | Vancouver Canucks | 7 | 2 | -11 | 4 |
| 29 | Los Angeles Kings | 4 | 0 | -7 | 2 |
| 30 | Chicago Blackhawks | 6 | 1 | -14 | 2 |
NHL on the same day
- Columbus Blue JacketsToronto Maple Leafspreliminary65351The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 5:26.3
- Montreal CanadiensSan Jose Sharkspreliminary71291The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 5:26.1
- New Jersey DevilsColorado Avalanchepreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:55.9
- New York IslandersAnaheim Duckspreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.0
- Dallas StarsBoston Bruinspreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.3
- St. Louis BluesWinnipeg Jetspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.2
- Edmonton OilersMinnesota Wildpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.9
- Seattle KrakenDetroit Red Wingspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →