NHL · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Edmonton Oilers — Minnesota Wild
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Edmonton Oilers are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 60%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.0 and 2.8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Edmonton Oilers — Minnesota Wild | 3.0–2.8 | |
| Edmonton Oilers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Minnesota Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 60% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Edmonton Oilers
- Edmonton Oilers goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10away · Los Angeles Kings4:1
- 10.10away · San Jose Sharks3:1
- 08.10away · Anaheim Ducks5:2
- 04.10Seattle Kraken3:1
- 02.10away · Vancouver Canucks9:7
- 14.10away · Winnipeg Jets2:5
- 13.10Vegas Golden Knights4:2
- 11.10away · Florida Panthers4:1
- 09.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning2:3
- 07.10away · Buffalo Sabres2:3 OT
Head to head
- 01.02.2026Edmonton Oilers — Minnesota Wild3:7
- 20.12.2025Minnesota Wild — Edmonton Oilers5:2
- 03.12.2025Edmonton Oilers — Minnesota Wild0:1
- 16.01.2025Minnesota Wild — Edmonton Oilers3:5
- 13.12.2024Minnesota Wild — Edmonton Oilers1:7
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 6 | 5 | +11 | 11 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Seattle Kraken | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Ottawa Senators | 7 | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Minnesota Wild | 7 | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Winnipeg Jets | 6 | 4 | +1 | 9 |
NHL on the same day
- Columbus Blue JacketsToronto Maple Leafspreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 5:26.4
- Montreal CanadiensSan Jose Sharkspreliminary71291The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 5:26.1
- New Jersey DevilsColorado Avalanchepreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:55.9
- New York IslandersAnaheim Duckspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.0
- Washington CapitalsLos Angeles Kingspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.1
- Dallas StarsBoston Bruinspreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.3
- St. Louis BluesWinnipeg Jetspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.2
- Seattle KrakenDetroit Red Wingspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →