NHL · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Montreal Canadiens — San Jose Sharks
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Montreal Canadiens are clear favourites: 71% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 64%.
Why
- Montreal Canadiens are more dangerous in attack: 3.7 expected goals against 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Montreal Canadiens — San Jose Sharks | 3.7–2.5 | |
| Montreal Canadiens to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 71% | |
| San Jose Sharks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 29% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 64% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 36% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Montreal Canadiens
- Montreal Canadiens goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10Buffalo Sabres4:3 SO
- 11.10Detroit Red Wings1:0 SO
- 09.10Nashville Predators2:5
- 07.10Carolina Hurricanes4:6
- 04.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins5:6 OT
- 14.10Boston Bruins3:6
- 10.10Edmonton Oilers1:3
- 09.10away · St. Louis Blues3:2 OT
- 06.10away · Dallas Stars0:5
- 04.10Los Angeles Kings5:4 OT
Head to head
- 15.03.2026Montreal Canadiens — San Jose Sharks2:4
- 04.03.2026San Jose Sharks — Montreal Canadiens7:5
- 28.02.2025Montreal Canadiens — San Jose Sharks4:3 OT
- 05.02.2025San Jose Sharks — Montreal Canadiens3:4
- 12.01.2024Montreal Canadiens — San Jose Sharks2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 7 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 18 | Montreal Canadiens | 6 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Buffalo Sabres | 7 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
| 23 | New Jersey Devils | 6 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
| 24 | San Jose Sharks | 6 | 3 | -7 | 6 |
| 25 | Dallas Stars | 6 | 2 | +2 | 5 |
NHL on the same day
- Columbus Blue JacketsToronto Maple Leafspreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 5:26.4
- New Jersey DevilsColorado Avalanchepreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:55.9
- New York IslandersAnaheim Duckspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.0
- Washington CapitalsLos Angeles Kingspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.1
- Dallas StarsBoston Bruinspreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.3
- St. Louis BluesWinnipeg Jetspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.2
- Edmonton OilersMinnesota Wildpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.9
- Seattle KrakenDetroit Red Wingspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →