NHL · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
New York Islanders — Anaheim Ducks
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
New York Islanders are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 61%.
Why
- New York Islanders are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 2.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: New York Islanders — Anaheim Ducks | 3.3–2.6 | |
| New York Islanders to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 62% | |
| Anaheim Ducks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 38% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 61% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 39% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap New York Islanders
- New York Islanders goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Tampa Bay Lightning3:5
- 09.10Chicago Blackhawks4:1
- 07.10away · New York Rangers2:5
- 04.10New Jersey Devils6:0
- 01.10away · Toronto Maple Leafs1:2
- 11.10away · Calgary Flames4:2
- 10.10away · Winnipeg Jets5:1
- 08.10Edmonton Oilers2:5
- 05.10Florida Panthers3:2 OT
- 03.10away · Vegas Golden Knights4:3
Head to head
- 05.03.2026Anaheim Ducks — New York Islanders5:1
- 12.12.2025New York Islanders — Anaheim Ducks5:2
- 10.03.2025Anaheim Ducks — New York Islanders4:1
- 30.10.2024New York Islanders — Anaheim Ducks1:3
- 11.03.2024Anaheim Ducks — New York Islanders1:6
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 6 | 4 | +7 | 8 |
| 10, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Anaheim Ducks | 5 | 4 | +5 | 8 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Tampa Bay Lightning | 5 | 4 | +4 | 8 |
| 23 | Montreal Canadiens | 5 | 2 | -4 | 5 |
| 24 | New York Islanders | 5 | 2 | +3 | 4 |
| 25 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 4 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
NHL on the same day
- Columbus Blue JacketsToronto Maple Leafspreliminary65351The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 5:26.3
- Montreal CanadiensSan Jose Sharkspreliminary71291The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 5:26.1
- New Jersey DevilsColorado Avalanchepreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:55.9
- Washington CapitalsLos Angeles Kingspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.2
- Dallas StarsBoston Bruinspreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.3
- St. Louis BluesWinnipeg Jetspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.2
- Edmonton OilersMinnesota Wildpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.9
- Seattle KrakenDetroit Red Wingspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →