NHL · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Vegas Golden Knights — Calgary Flames
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Vegas Golden Knights are clear favourites: 68% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- Vegas Golden Knights are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.2.
Facts
- League table: Vegas Golden Knights — No. 3, 12 pts; Calgary Flames — No. 32, 2 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Vegas Golden Knights 3 wins, Calgary Flames 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vegas Golden Knights — Calgary Flames | 3.2–2.2 | |
| Vegas Golden Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 68% | |
| Calgary Flames to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 32% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Vegas Golden Knights
- Vegas Golden Knights goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 14.10away · Nashville Predators5:2
- 13.10away · Minnesota Wild2:4
- 11.10Los Angeles Kings2:1 OT
- 09.10Toronto Maple Leafs4:3 SO
- 07.10away · Seattle Kraken6:2
- 14.10away · Anaheim Ducks4:2
- 11.10Anaheim Ducks2:4
- 09.10Colorado Avalanche3:7
- 05.10away · Seattle Kraken1:6
- 04.10away · Vancouver Canucks1:4
Head to head
- 03.04.2026Vegas Golden Knights — Calgary Flames6:3
- 21.12.2025Calgary Flames — Vegas Golden Knights6:3
- 19.10.2025Vegas Golden Knights — Calgary Flames6:1
- 15.10.2025Calgary Flames — Vegas Golden Knights2:4
- 16.04.2025Calgary Flames — Vegas Golden Knights5:4 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 8 | 6 | +13 | 12 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 6 | 5 | +11 | 11 |
| 31 | Los Angeles Kings | 5 | 0 | -10 | 2 |
| 32 | Calgary Flames | 6 | 1 | -17 | 2 |
NHL on the same day
- 66341The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:25.8
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.2
- 57431The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
- 63371The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
- 45552The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:56.0
- 52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:14.9
- 40602The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.2
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →