NHL · Wednesday, 30 September, MSK · T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights — Chicago Blackhawks
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5:2Came true
In short
Final score 5:2: the model's most likely outcome, Vegas Golden Knights to win (72% incl. overtime), came true.
Vegas Golden Knights are clear favourites: 72% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 54%.
Why
- Vegas Golden Knights are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 2.2.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Vegas Golden Knights 4 wins, Chicago Blackhawks 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vegas Golden Knights — Chicago Blackhawks | 3.5–2.2 | |
| Vegas Golden Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 72% | |
| Chicago Blackhawks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 28% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 54% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 46% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Vegas Golden Knights
- Vegas Golden Knights goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 15.06Carolina Hurricanes0:3
- 12.06away · Carolina Hurricanes2:4
- 10.06Carolina Hurricanes3:5
- 07.06Carolina Hurricanes5:4 OT
- 05.06away · Carolina Hurricanes3:4 OT
- 16.04San Jose Sharks5:2
- 14.04Buffalo Sabres1:5
- 12.04St. Louis Blues3:5
- 10.04Carolina Hurricanes2:7
- 07.04away · San Jose Sharks2:3
Head to head
- 15.03.2026Vegas Golden Knights — Chicago Blackhawks4:0
- 05.01.2026Chicago Blackhawks — Vegas Golden Knights3:2 OT
- 03.12.2025Vegas Golden Knights — Chicago Blackhawks4:3 SO
- 29.03.2025Chicago Blackhawks — Vegas Golden Knights3:5
- 28.02.2025Vegas Golden Knights — Chicago Blackhawks7:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 8 | 6 | +13 | 12 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 6 | 5 | +11 | 11 |
| 28 | Vancouver Canucks | 8 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 29 | Chicago Blackhawks | 7 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 30 | Philadelphia Flyers | 8 | 0 | -21 | 3 |
Next matches
- Utah MammothChicago Blackhawks2 October · NHL69311The most likely outcome came true: 120%6:0Final score 6:0. Model's score: 4:1.5.8
- Vegas Golden KnightsAnaheim Ducks3 October · NHL67331The most likely outcome did not happen: 120%3:4Final score 3:4. Model's score: 5:2.6.0
NHL on the same day
- 61391The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%0:1OTFinal score 0:1 in overtime. Model's score: 4:1.5.8
- 49512The most likely outcome came true: 222%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:5.6.1
- 53471The most likely outcome came true: 123%3:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 4:1.5.6
- 68321The most likely outcome did not happen: 120%5:6OTFinal score 5:6 in overtime. Model's score: 5:2.6.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →