NHL · Wednesday, 30 September, MSK · Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers — Vancouver Canucks
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5:6 OTMissed
In short
Final score 5:6 OT: the model's most likely outcome, Edmonton Oilers to win (68% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 68% fails in about 32 matches out of 100 on average.
Edmonton Oilers are clear favourites: 68% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 64%.
Why
- Edmonton Oilers are more dangerous in attack: 3.7 expected goals against 2.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Edmonton Oilers — Vancouver Canucks | 3.7–2.6 | |
| Edmonton Oilers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 68% | |
| Vancouver Canucks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 32% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 64% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 36% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Edmonton Oilers
- Edmonton Oilers goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.05away · Anaheim Ducks2:5
- 29.04Anaheim Ducks4:1
- 27.04away · Anaheim Ducks3:4 OT
- 25.04away · Anaheim Ducks4:7
- 23.04Anaheim Ducks4:6
- 17.04away · Edmonton Oilers1:6
- 15.04Los Angeles Kings4:3 OT
- 13.04away · Anaheim Ducks4:3 OT
- 12.04away · San Jose Sharks4:3 SO
- 10.04away · Los Angeles Kings1:4
Head to head
- 17.04.2026Edmonton Oilers — Vancouver Canucks6:1
- 18.01.2026Vancouver Canucks — Edmonton Oilers0:6
- 27.10.2025Vancouver Canucks — Edmonton Oilers4:3 OT
- 12.10.2025Edmonton Oilers — Vancouver Canucks3:1
- 24.01.2025Edmonton Oilers — Vancouver Canucks6:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Ottawa Senators | 7 | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 5 | 4 | +8 | 9 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Minnesota Wild | 7 | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 27 | Detroit Red Wings | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
| 28 | Vancouver Canucks | 8 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 29 | Chicago Blackhawks | 7 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
Next match
- Vancouver CanucksEdmonton Oilers2 October · NHL40602The most likely outcome came true: 221%7:9Final score 7:9. Model's score: 2:5.6.5
NHL on the same day
- 61391The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%0:1OTFinal score 0:1 in overtime. Model's score: 4:1.5.8
- 49512The most likely outcome came true: 222%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:5.6.1
- 53471The most likely outcome came true: 123%3:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 4:1.5.6
- 72281The most likely outcome came true: 120%5:2Final score 5:2. Model's score: 4:1.5.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →