NHL · Wednesday, 30 September, MSK · TD Garden
Boston Bruins — New York Rangers
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:0Came true
In short
Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, Boston Bruins to win (53% incl. overtime), came true.
Close to a coin flip: Boston Bruins 53%, New York Rangers 47% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 53%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 2.7.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Boston Bruins 2 wins, New York Rangers 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Boston Bruins — New York Rangers | 2.9–2.7 | |
| Boston Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| New York Rangers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 53% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 47% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Boston Bruins
- Boston Bruins goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 02.05Buffalo Sabres1:4
- 29.04away · Buffalo Sabres2:1 OT
- 26.04Buffalo Sabres1:6
- 24.04Buffalo Sabres1:3
- 22.04away · Buffalo Sabres4:2
- 16.04away · Tampa Bay Lightning4:2
- 14.04away · Florida Panthers2:3
- 12.04away · Dallas Stars0:2
- 09.04Buffalo Sabres3:5
- 06.04Washington Capitals8:1
Head to head
- 27.01.2026New York Rangers — Boston Bruins4:3 OT
- 10.01.2026Boston Bruins — New York Rangers10:2
- 28.11.2025Boston Bruins — New York Rangers2:6
- 06.02.2025New York Rangers — Boston Bruins3:2
- 01.02.2025Boston Bruins — New York Rangers6:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Carolina Hurricanes | 8 | 6 | +12 | 13 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 8 | 6 | +13 | 12 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Seattle Kraken | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 7 | 5 | +8 | 10 |
Next matches
- New York RangersTampa Bay Lightning2 October · NHL43572The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%5:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 1:4.5.8
- Winnipeg JetsBoston Bruins3 October · NHL54461The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%3:4OTFinal score 3:4 in overtime. Model's score: 3:2.5.3
NHL on the same day
- 61391The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%0:1OTFinal score 0:1 in overtime. Model's score: 4:1.5.8
- 49512The most likely outcome came true: 222%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:5.6.1
- 68321The most likely outcome did not happen: 120%5:6OTFinal score 5:6 in overtime. Model's score: 5:2.6.3
- 72281The most likely outcome came true: 120%5:2Final score 5:2. Model's score: 4:1.5.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →