NHL · Wednesday, 30 September, MSK · Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes — Florida Panthers
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0:1 OTMissed
In short
Final score 0:1 OT: the model's most likely outcome, Carolina Hurricanes to win (61% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 61% fails in about 39 matches out of 100 on average.
Carolina Hurricanes are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 56%.
Why
- Carolina Hurricanes are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Carolina Hurricanes — Florida Panthers | 3.2–2.6 | |
| Carolina Hurricanes to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 61% | |
| Florida Panthers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 39% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 56% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Carolina Hurricanes
- Carolina Hurricanes goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 15.06away · Vegas Golden Knights3:0
- 12.06Vegas Golden Knights4:2
- 10.06away · Vegas Golden Knights5:3
- 07.06away · Vegas Golden Knights4:5 OT
- 05.06Vegas Golden Knights4:3 OT
- 16.04Detroit Red Wings8:1
- 14.04New York Rangers3:2
- 12.04away · Toronto Maple Leafs6:2
- 10.04away · Ottawa Senators1:5
- 08.04away · Montreal Canadiens3:4 SO
Head to head
- 17.01.2026Carolina Hurricanes — Florida Panthers9:1
- 24.12.2025Carolina Hurricanes — Florida Panthers2:5
- 20.12.2025Florida Panthers — Carolina Hurricanes4:3 SO
- 29.05.2025Carolina Hurricanes — Florida Panthers3:5
- 27.05.2025Florida Panthers — Carolina Hurricanes0:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Carolina Hurricanes | 8 | 6 | +12 | 13 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 8 | 6 | +13 | 12 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Tampa Bay Lightning | 6 | 4 | +1 | 8 |
| 13, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Florida Panthers | 7 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Pittsburgh Penguins | 7 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
Next matches
- San Jose SharksFlorida Panthers2 October · NHL37632The most likely outcome did not happen: 221%4:3OTFinal score 4:3 in overtime. Model's score: 2:5.6.2
- Carolina HurricanesWashington Capitals3 October · NHL60401The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 4:1.5.8
NHL on the same day
- 49512The most likely outcome came true: 222%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:5.6.1
- 53471The most likely outcome came true: 123%3:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 4:1.5.6
- 68321The most likely outcome did not happen: 120%5:6OTFinal score 5:6 in overtime. Model's score: 5:2.6.3
- 72281The most likely outcome came true: 120%5:2Final score 5:2. Model's score: 4:1.5.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →