NHL · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets — Anaheim Ducks

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Model prediction and result

1:5Missed
Winnipeg Jets43%
Draw in regulation23%
Anaheim Ducks34%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:5: the model's most likely outcome, Winnipeg Jets to win (55% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 55% fails in about 45 matches out of 100 on average.

Winnipeg Jets are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.

Why

  • Winnipeg Jets are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.7.

Facts

  • Winnipeg Jets: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Winnipeg Jets 1 win, Anaheim Ducks 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Winnipeg Jets — Anaheim Ducks3.0–2.8
Winnipeg Jets to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
Anaheim Ducks to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)58%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)42%

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Winnipeg Jets
  • Winnipeg Jets goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Winnipeg Jets

  • 08.10Colorado Avalanche3:2
  • 06.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins3:2
  • 04.10away · Detroit Red Wings3:2
  • 03.10Boston Bruins3:4 OT
  • 17.04San Jose Sharks1:6

Anaheim Ducks

  • 08.10Edmonton Oilers2:5
  • 05.10Florida Panthers3:2 OT
  • 03.10away · Vegas Golden Knights4:3
  • 15.05Vegas Golden Knights1:5
  • 13.05away · Vegas Golden Knights2:3 OT

Head to head

  • 11.03.2026Winnipeg Jets — Anaheim Ducks1:4
  • 28.02.2026Anaheim Ducks — Winnipeg Jets5:4 OT
  • 10.11.2025Anaheim Ducks — Winnipeg Jets4:1
  • 17.04.2025Winnipeg Jets — Anaheim Ducks2:1 OT
  • 03.01.2025Winnipeg Jets — Anaheim Ducks3:4 OT

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
9, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionMinnesota Wild741221–16+59
10, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionWinnipeg Jets641118–17+19
11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceColorado Avalanche640229–19+108
12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceAnaheim Ducks640220–17+38
13, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionTampa Bay Lightning640217–16+18

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

  • Calgary FlamesAnaheim Ducks11 October · NHL
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%Final score 2:4. Model's score: 5:2.6.0
  • Winnipeg JetsMinnesota Wild14 October · NHL
    1The most likely outcome came true: 123%Final score 5:2. Model's score: 5:2, exactly right.6.0

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →