PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Saturday, 3 October, MSK

Yunost Minsk — Zhlobin

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

1:4Missed
Yunost Minsk42%
Draw in regulation22%
Zhlobin36%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:4: the model's most likely outcome, Yunost Minsk to win (53% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 53% fails in about 47 matches out of 100 on average.

Yunost Minsk are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 42%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.4.

Facts

  • Yunost Minsk: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Yunost Minsk 1 win, Zhlobin 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Yunost Minsk — Zhlobin2.6–2.4
Yunost Minsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)53%
Zhlobin to win (incl. OT and shootout)47%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)42%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)58%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Yunost Minsk
  • Yunost Minsk goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Yunost Minsk

  • 30.09away · Baranavichy0:5
  • 28.09away · Baranavichy2:5
  • 23.09Slavutych1:4
  • 21.09Slavutych3:5
  • 18.09away · Mogilev3:5

Zhlobin

  • 29.09away · Molodechno0:3
  • 27.09away · Molodechno4:1
  • 23.09away · Baranavichy1:2
  • 21.09away · Baranavichy3:2 SO
  • 17.09away · Neman Grodno3:2 OT

Head to head

  • 08.04.2026Zhlobin — Yunost Minsk2:1
  • 06.04.2026Yunost Minsk — Zhlobin3:4 OT
  • 04.04.2026Zhlobin — Yunost Minsk4:2
  • 02.04.2026Zhlobin — Yunost Minsk1:0
  • 31.03.2026Yunost Minsk — Zhlobin4:2

Next match

  • Yunost MinskZhlobin4 October · Belarus Extraleague
    2The most likely outcome came true: 222%Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:4.5.0

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • SlavutychVitebsk
    1The most likely outcome came true: 122%Final score 6:3. Model's score: 4:1.4.8
  • SoligorskBaranavichy
    1The most likely outcome came true: 112%Final score 4:2. Model's score: 4:1.5.9
  • GomelLokomotiv Orsha
    1The most likely outcome came true: 116%Final score 4:3. Model's score: 4:1.5.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →