Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Saturday, 10 October, MSK

Buse I. — Bergs Z.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Buse I.47%
Bergs Z.53%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Bergs Z. to win (53%), came true.

Evenly matched: Buse I. 47%, Bergs Z. 53%.

Over 22.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Buse I. 1602, Bergs Z. 1600.

Probabilities

Games over 22.551%
Games under 22.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Buse I. games
  • Bergs Z. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Buse I.

  • 01.10Halys Q.0:2

Bergs Z.

  • 08.10Kopriva V.2:0
  • 01.10Lehecka J.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Bergs Z.Alcaraz C.12 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.20.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →