Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Saturday, 10 October, MSK

Lehecka J. — Borges N.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Lehecka J.64%
Borges N.36%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Lehecka J. to win (64%), came true.

Lehecka J. are clear favourites: 64% against 36% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Lehecka J. 1752, Borges N. 1631.

Probabilities

Games over 22.552%
Games under 22.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Lehecka J. games
  • Borges N. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Lehecka J.

  • 06.10Alcaraz C.0:2
  • 05.10Vacherot V.2:0
  • 04.10Vallejo D.2:0
  • 03.10Humbert U.2:1
  • 01.10Bergs Z.2:1

Borges N.

  • 08.10Diaz Acosta F.2:0
  • 30.09Djokovic N.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Lehecka J.Jodar R.12 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.19.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →