Tennis: ATP, Beijing, qualifying, hard · Tuesday, 29 September, MSK

Mannarino A. — Carreno-Busta P.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Mannarino A.42%
Carreno-Busta P.58%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Carreno-Busta P. to win (58%), came true.

Carreno-Busta P. are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.

Over 24.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Mannarino A. 1588, Carreno-Busta P. 1633.

Probabilities

Games over 24.552%
Games under 24.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Mannarino A. games
  • Carreno-Busta P. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Mannarino A.

  • 28.09Kecmanovic M.2:1
  • 27.09Shapovalov D.1:2
  • 25.09Tabilo A.2:0
  • 24.09Shang J.2:0

Carreno-Busta P.

  • 28.09Zhou Y.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Medvedev D.Carreno-Busta P.2 October · ATP · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Mannarino A.Basilashvili N.7 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.25.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →