Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Thursday, 8 October, MSK

Marozsan F. — Svajda Z.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Missed
Marozsan F.63%
Svajda Z.37%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Marozsan F. to win (63%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 63% fails in about 37 matches out of 100 on average.

Marozsan F. are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Marozsan F. 1605, Svajda Z. 1477.

Probabilities

Games over 22.551%
Games under 22.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Marozsan F. games
  • Svajda Z. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Marozsan F.

  • 27.09Jacquet K.0:2
  • 25.09Daniel T.2:1
  • 24.09Bolt A.2:0

Svajda Z.

  • 28.09Kovacevic A.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Tien L.Svajda Z.10 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →