Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Thursday, 8 October, MSK

Norrie C. — Svrcina D.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Missed
Norrie C.69%
Svrcina D.31%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Norrie C. to win (69%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 69% fails in about 31 matches out of 100 on average.

Norrie C. are clear favourites: 69% against 31% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Norrie C. 1663, Svrcina D. 1499.

Probabilities

Games over 21.551%
Games under 21.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Norrie C. games
  • Svrcina D. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Norrie C.

  • 01.10Zverev A.0:2

Svrcina D.

  • 06.10Nishioka Y.0:0
  • 05.10Harris B.2:1
  • 24.09Hijikata R.0:2
  • 23.09Noguchi R.2:0
  • 22.09Sekulic P.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Svrcina D.Etcheverry T. M.10 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →