Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Saturday, 10 October, MSK

Paul T. — Vallejo D.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Paul T.64%
Vallejo D.36%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Paul T. to win (64%), came true.

Paul T. are clear favourites: 64% against 36% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Paul T. 1764, Vallejo D. 1560.

Probabilities

Games over 22.548%
Games under 22.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Paul T. games
  • Vallejo D. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Paul T.

  • 30.09Tabilo A.0:2

Vallejo D.

  • 08.10Royer V.2:0
  • 04.10Lehecka J.0:2
  • 03.10Berrettini M.2:0
  • 01.10Jodar R.2:0
  • 29.09Faria J.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Paul T.Vacherot V.12 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →