Tennis: ATP, Tokyo, hard · Friday, 2 October, MSK

Vacherot V. — Tsitsipas S.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Missed
Vacherot V.42%
Tsitsipas S.58%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Tsitsipas S. to win (58%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 58% fails in about 42 matches out of 100 on average.

Tsitsipas S. are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.

Over 24.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Vacherot V. 1676, Tsitsipas S. 1730.

Probabilities

Games over 24.552%
Games under 24.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Vacherot V. games
  • Tsitsipas S. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Vacherot V.

  • 30.09Blockx A.2:0
  • 26.09Harris L.0:2

Tsitsipas S.

  • 01.10Etcheverry T. M.2:1
  • 29.09Hijikata R.2:0
  • 28.09Nishioka Y.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Vacherot V.Fils A.4 October · ATP · Tokyo
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • Coppejans K.Tsitsipas S.8 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.25.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →