Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Thursday, 8 October, MSK

Van De Zandschulp B. — Merida Aguilar D.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Missed
Van De Zandschulp B.46%
Merida Aguilar D.54%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Merida Aguilar D. to win (54%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 54% fails in about 46 matches out of 100 on average.

Merida Aguilar D. are slightly stronger: 54% against 46%.

Over 22.5 games — 46%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Van De Zandschulp B. 1622, Merida Aguilar D. 1674.

Probabilities

Games over 22.546%
Games under 22.554%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Van De Zandschulp B. games
  • Merida Aguilar D. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Van De Zandschulp B.

  • 01.10Cerundolo F.1:2
  • 29.09Cui J.2:0
  • 28.09Royer V.2:1
  • 25.09Basilashvili N.0:2

Merida Aguilar D.

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →