Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Saturday, 10 October, MSK

Van De Zandschulp B. — Michelsen A.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Van De Zandschulp B.44%
Michelsen A.56%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Michelsen A. to win (56%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 56% fails in about 44 matches out of 100 on average.

Michelsen A. are slightly stronger: 56% against 44%.

Over 22.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Van De Zandschulp B. 1630, Michelsen A. 1677.

Probabilities

Games over 22.552%
Games under 22.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Van De Zandschulp B. games
  • Michelsen A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Van De Zandschulp B.

  • 08.10Merida Aguilar D.2:1
  • 01.10Cerundolo F.1:2
  • 29.09Cui J.2:0
  • 28.09Royer V.2:1
  • 25.09Basilashvili N.0:2

Michelsen A.

  • 01.10Alcaraz C.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Fils A.Van De Zandschulp B.12 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →