Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
AC Garona — Puissalicon Magalas
Model prediction and result
2:4Missed
In short
Final score 2:4: the model's most likely outcome, AC Garona to win (39%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 39% fails in about 61 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: AC Garona 39%, Puissalicon Magalas 34%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- AC Garona are 70 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: AC Garona — Puissalicon Magalas What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| AC Garona not to lose | 66% | |
| Puissalicon Magalas not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
Form
No past matches in the data yet.
No past matches in the data yet.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →