PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Accounts and Premium are not available in your country; every forecast is open. New forecasts every day — in our Telegram channel.

Primera Nacional, round 34 · Saturday, 17 October, (UTC+3) · Estadio La Quema

Acassuso — Deportivo Madryn

Model prediction and result

0:0Missed
Acassuso27%
Draw31%
Deportivo Madryn41%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, Deportivo Madryn to win (41%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 41% fails in about 59 matches out of 100 on average.

Deportivo Madryn are slightly stronger: 41% against 27%, draw 31%.

2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (1.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 47%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Deportivo Madryn are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
  • Deportivo Madryn are 91 points higher on Elo.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Acassuso — Deportivo Madryn What is xG?1.0–1.2
Acassuso not to lose59%
Deportivo Madryn not to lose73%
No draw69%
Both teams to score: yes47%
Both teams to score: no53%
Total over 2.541%
Total under 2.559%

Match events

  1. 24′Nazareno Solís · Deportivo Madryn
  2. 53′Juan Peinipil · Deportivo Madryn
  3. 57′Mariano Monllor · Acassuso
  4. 59′Alex Ruíz · Acassuso
  5. 73′Agustín Hermoso · Acassuso
  6. 80′Joaquín Postigo · Acassuso
  7. 92′Claudio Corvalán · Deportivo Madryn
Substitutions (9)
  1. 16′Juan Peinipil ↔ Camilo Machado · Deportivo Madryn
  2. 56′Fernando Bersano ↔ Nazareno Solís · Deportivo Madryn
  3. 56′Ezequiel Montagna ↔ Leonardo Marinucci · Deportivo Madryn
  4. 67′Natán Acosta ↔ Ramiro Reynoso · Acassuso
  5. 78′Lázaro Romero ↔ David Escalante · Acassuso
  6. 85′Diego Martínez ↔ Marcelo Meli · Deportivo Madryn
  7. 85′Nicolás Servetto ↔ Luis Silba · Deportivo Madryn
  8. 90′Valentín Serrano ↔ Agustín Hermoso · Acassuso
  9. 90′Jonathan Raccio ↔ Joaquín Postigo · Acassuso

Lineups

Minutes — how long the player played, if under 90; on the right — the player’s match rating.

Acassuso

  1. GKMariano Monllor
  2. DFJoel Ghiraldello
  3. DFSantiago Bellatti
  4. DFAlex Ruíz
  5. DFRomán Etcheverri
  6. MFRamiro Reynoso67′
  7. MFKevin Daniel Dubini
  8. MFAgustín Hermoso
  9. MFJoaquín Postigo
  10. MFLautaro Rodríguez
  11. FWDavid Escalante78′
Came on (2)
  1. FWLázaro Romero12′
  2. MFNatán Acosta23′

Deportivo Madryn

  1. GKYair Bonnín
  2. DFClaudio Corvalán
  3. DFLucas Diarte
  4. DFFacundo Giacopuzzi
  5. DFAgustín Sosa
  6. MFMarcelo Meli85′
  7. MFNazareno Solís56′
  8. MFLeonardo Marinucci56′
  9. MFCamilo Machado16′
  10. MFFederico Recalde
  11. FWLuis Silba85′
Came on (5)
  1. DFFernando Bersano34′
  2. MFEzequiel Montagna34′
  3. FWNicolás Servetto5′
  4. FWJuan Peinipil74′
  5. DFDiego Martínez5′

Form

Acassuso

  • 11.10away · CA Defensores de Belgrano3:0
  • 03.10Ciudad de Bolívar0:1
  • 26.09away · Almirante Brown1:0
  • 19.09Club Atlético Mitre2:0
  • 13.09away · Club Atlético Estudiantes0:1

Deportivo Madryn

  • 11.10CA Chaco For Ever1:2
  • 03.10away · Ferro Carril Oeste2:0
  • 27.09Central Norte0:0
  • 20.09Racing de Córdoba2:0
  • 14.09away · CA Defensores de Belgrano1:2

Head to head

  • 31.05.2026Deportivo Madryn — Acassuso0:0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →