Ligue 1 (Côte d'Ivoire) · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
Adiake — Bouake
Model prediction and result
2:1Missed
In short
Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Bouake to win (48%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 48% fails in about 52 matches out of 100 on average.
Bouake are clear favourites: 48% against 21% for the opponent, draw 32%.
1.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 39%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Adiake: winless in 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Adiake — Bouake What is xG? | 0.7–1.2 | |
| Adiake not to lose | 52% | |
| Bouake not to lose | 79% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 39% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 61% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 35% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 65% |
Form
- 10.10San Pedro0:3
- 07.10away · ISCA0:1
- 27.09Academie de FAD2:1
- 24.05away · SO Armee0:0
- 16.05Stella Adjame1:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →