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Danish Superliga, round 15 · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

AGF — Lyngby

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Model prediction for 20 November

AGF61%
Draw23%
Lyngby16%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

AGF are clear favourites: 61% against 16% for the opponent, draw 23%.

3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 64%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings AGF are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
  • AGF are 256 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: AGF — No. 8, 12 pts; Lyngby — No. 11, 11 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: AGF 3 wins, Lyngby 0, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: AGF — Lyngby What is xG?2.2–1.2
AGF not to lose84%
Lyngby not to lose39%
No draw77%
Both teams to score: yes64%
Both teams to score: no36%
Total over 2.565%
Total under 2.535%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap AGF
  • AGF goals
  • Lyngby goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatAGFLyngby
Goals scored per match1.11.5
Goals conceded per match1.42.1
xG per match1.171.53
Opponents’ xG1.681.74
Shots12.513.5
On target2.94.6
Corners4.94.4
Cards1.72.1
Possession, %5149

Averages per match: AGF — the last 10, Lyngby — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

AGF

  • 01.11away · Brøndby IF0:2
  • 25.10Viborg2:1
  • 22.10Egnatia1:1
  • 18.10away · FC København1:1
  • 15.10away · Gent0:1

Lyngby

  • 30.10Randers FC2:1
  • 25.10away · FC Midtjylland2:3
  • 18.10Nordsjælland3:3
  • 11.10away · Brøndby IF2:5
  • 18.09Silkeborg0:4

Head to head

  • 01.08.2026Lyngby — AGF2:2
  • 03.11.2024AGF — Lyngby2:1
  • 22.09.2024Lyngby — AGF0:0
  • 22.10.2023Lyngby — AGF0:2
  • 27.08.2023AGF — Lyngby1:0

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
7, Relegation roundAC Horsens1344523–21+216
8, Relegation roundAGF1326517–21-412
9, Relegation roundSilkeborg1326517–24-712
10, Relegation roundRanders FC1332813–21-811
11, Relegation roundLyngby1325619–28-911
12, Relegation roundSønderjyske1322917–31-148

Season 2026/27

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →