International Friendlies · Monday, 16 November, (UTC+3) · Estadi FAF
Andorra — Azerbaijan
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Azerbaijan are clear favourites: 53% against 16% for the opponent, draw 31%.
The model expects few goals: 1.8 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 26%, both teams to score — 30%.
Why
- National-team Elo: Andorra 1056, Azerbaijan 1326 — Azerbaijan clearly rated higher.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Andorra — Azerbaijan What is xG? | 0.6–1.2 | |
| Andorra not to lose | 47% | |
| Azerbaijan not to lose | 84% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 30% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 70% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 26% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 74% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Andorra
- Andorra goals
- Azerbaijan goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Andorra | Azerbaijan |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| xG per match | 0.52 | 0.93 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.57 | 1.75 |
| Shots | 7.8 | 9.3 |
| On target | 2.7 | 2.9 |
| Corners | 2.3 | 2.9 |
| Cards | 3.3 | 2.4 |
| Possession, % | 39 | 42 |
Form
- 04.10away · Malta0:1
- 30.09away · Lithuania0:3
- 27.09away · Gibraltar0:0
- 24.09Malta1:2
- 07.06away · Kosovo0:3
- 04.10Lithuania1:0
- 01.10Liechtenstein0:0
- 27.09away · Lithuania1:1
- 23.09Tajikistan1:0
- 09.06San Marino2:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →