Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
AS Contres — Vierzon FC
Model prediction and result
1:0Missed
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Vierzon FC to win (46%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 46% fails in about 54 matches out of 100 on average.
Vierzon FC are slightly stronger: 46% against 28%, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Vierzon FC are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: AS Contres — Vierzon FC What is xG? | 1.2–1.6 | |
| AS Contres not to lose | 54% | |
| Vierzon FC not to lose | 72% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
Form
- 30.11away · Marmande2:2
- 16.11away · US Colomiers2:2
- 26.10away · Blois1:1
- 18.11Angoulême0:1
- 29.10away · Étoile Bleue St Cyr1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →