Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
AS Domarin — Villefranche Beaujolais
Model prediction and result
1:1Missed
In short
Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, Villefranche Beaujolais to win (59%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 59% fails in about 41 matches out of 100 on average.
Villefranche Beaujolais are clear favourites: 59% against 18% for the opponent, draw 23%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Villefranche Beaujolais are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
- Villefranche Beaujolais are 154 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: AS Domarin — Villefranche Beaujolais What is xG? | 1.0–1.9 | |
| AS Domarin not to lose | 41% | |
| Villefranche Beaujolais not to lose | 82% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
Form
No past matches in the data yet.
- 16.11away · Grenoble1:1
- 26.10away · St Priest2:1
- 17.11Grenoble1:2
- 29.10away · Mozac US2:0
- 19.11away · Grenoble0:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →