Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 31 October, (UTC+3)
AS ET Matoury — Le Geldar de Kourou
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1:0Came true
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, AS ET Matoury to win (44%), came true.
AS ET Matoury are slightly stronger: 44% against 30%, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings AS ET Matoury are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- AS ET Matoury are 120 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: AS ET Matoury — Le Geldar de Kourou What is xG? | 1.5–1.2 | |
| AS ET Matoury not to lose | 70% | |
| Le Geldar de Kourou not to lose | 56% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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Form
- 15.11ASC Le Geldar1:1
- 19.10away · US Matoury4:1
- 23.11away · Aigles d'Or de Mana3:0
- 03.11Charvein3:0
- 28.10Le Geldar de Kourou1:1
- 09.12away · Avoine Chinon1:4
- 18.11Agouado ASC3:0
- 28.10away · AS ET Matoury1:1
- 30.10AS Grand Santi1:1
Head to head
- 28.10.2023AS ET Matoury — Le Geldar de Kourou1:1
Next match
- Olympique De CayenneAS ET Matoury6 November · Coupe de France3427402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
Coupe de France on the same day
- 3827351The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →