Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
AS Levier — FC Chalon
Model prediction and result
1:3Came true
In short
Final score 1:3: the model's most likely outcome, FC Chalon to win (39%), came true.
Evenly matched: AS Levier 34%, FC Chalon 39%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: AS Levier — FC Chalon What is xG? | 1.3–1.4 | |
| AS Levier not to lose | 61% | |
| FC Chalon not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
Form
- 29.11Le Puy0:1
- 15.11away · Montréal La Cluse3:0
- 25.10Mâcon 712:2
- 26.10Jura Dolois1:1
- 28.10Jura Dolois1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →