Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
AS Steenvoorde — Amiens
Model prediction and result
0:1Came true
In short
Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, Amiens to win (44%), came true.
Amiens are slightly stronger: 44% against 30%, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: AS Steenvoorde — Amiens What is xG? | 1.2–1.5 | |
| AS Steenvoorde not to lose | 56% | |
| Amiens not to lose | 70% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
Form
- 29.11Bethune0:0
- 15.11Chambly1:1
- 26.10RC Calais1:0
- 14.02Beauvais2:4
- 07.02away · SC Bailleulois2:1
- 09.05away · Saint-Étienne0:5
- 02.05Red Star1:3
- 24.04Montpellier0:2
- 17.04away · Rodez2:3
- 10.04Pau0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →