Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
ASA Vauzelles — Cosne UCS Football
Model prediction and result
1:2Came true
In short
Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Cosne UCS Football to win (50%), came true.
Cosne UCS Football are clear favourites: 50% against 25% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cosne UCS Football are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- Cosne UCS Football are 69 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: ASA Vauzelles — Cosne UCS Football What is xG? | 1.1–1.7 | |
| ASA Vauzelles not to lose | 50% | |
| Cosne UCS Football not to lose | 75% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
Form
- 16.12away · Louhans Cuiseaux2:2
- 18.11Chantilly US1:0
- 28.10away · Coteaux de Seille5:1
- 19.11Paris FC0:2
- 30.10away · Saint Doulchard3:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →