Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
Association Still Mutzig — US Oberlauterbach/Eberbach
Model prediction and result
1:3Missed
In short
Final score 1:3: the model's most likely outcome, Association Still Mutzig to win (46%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 46% fails in about 54 matches out of 100 on average.
Association Still Mutzig are slightly stronger: 46% against 28%, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Association Still Mutzig are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Association Still Mutzig are 140 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Association Still Mutzig — US Oberlauterbach/Eberbach What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| Association Still Mutzig not to lose | 72% | |
| US Oberlauterbach/Eberbach not to lose | 54% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
Form
- 16.11Raon L Etape0:3
- 26.10away · Schirrhein1:1
- 22.12Reims1:3
- 30.11Jeunesse Evolution4:1
- 17.11FA Illkirch Graffenstaden1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →