La Liga, round 8 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Spotify Camp Nou
Barcelona — Getafe
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:0Came true
In short
Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, Barcelona to win (84%), came true.
Barcelona are clear favourites: 84% against 4% for the opponent, draw 12%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 41%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Barcelona are about 2.1 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Barcelona: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Barcelona 4 wins, Getafe 0, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Barcelona — Getafe What is xG? | 2.4–0.6 | |
| Barcelona not to lose | 96% | |
| Getafe not to lose | 16% | |
| No draw | 88% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 59% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Barcelona
- Barcelona goals
- Getafe goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 19.09away · Sevilla3:1
- 16.09Racing Santander7:2
- 13.09away · Levante4:2
- 09.09Feyenoord5:1
- 06.09away · Valencia5:0
- 20.09Málaga1:0
- 17.09away · Real Betis0:1
- 13.09Deportivo A Coruña1:1
- 07.09Celta Vigo1:1
- 31.08away · Osasuna0:1
Head to head
- 25.04.2026Getafe — Barcelona0:2
- 21.09.2025Barcelona — Getafe3:0
- 18.01.2025Getafe — Barcelona1:1
- 25.09.2024Barcelona — Getafe1:0
- 24.02.2024Barcelona — Getafe4:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League | Barcelona | 8 | 8 | +27 | 24 |
| 2, Champions League | Atlético Madrid | 8 | 6 | +10 | 19 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | -10 | 8 |
Next matches
- GalatasarayBarcelona13 October · Champions League2425512The most likely outcome came true: 21:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 0:2.2.8
- Universitatea CraiovaGetafe15 October · Conference League3126432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
La Liga on the same day
- 3428382The most likely outcome came true: 21:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:1.2.5
- 6720131The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 3:0.3.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 84% will not happen in roughly 16 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →