Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
Bassin d'Arcachon — Boulazac
Model prediction and result
0:1Missed
In short
Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, Bassin d'Arcachon to win (44%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 44% fails in about 56 matches out of 100 on average.
Bassin d'Arcachon are slightly stronger: 44% against 30%, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Bassin d'Arcachon are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Bassin d'Arcachon are 108 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bassin d'Arcachon — Boulazac What is xG? | 1.5–1.2 | |
| Bassin d'Arcachon not to lose | 70% | |
| Boulazac not to lose | 56% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
Form
- 21.12Hauts Lyonnais0:1
- 29.11away · Marmande0:0
- 16.11Blagnac4:1
- 26.10away · Larchois La Feuillade4:0
- 09.12Trélissac0:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →