PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Accounts and Premium are not available in your country; every forecast is open. New forecasts every day — in our Telegram channel.

Bundesliga, round 10 · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Bayern München — 1. FC Köln

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 20 November

Bayern München94%
Draw5%
1. FC Köln1%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Bayern München are clear favourites: 94% against 1% for the opponent, draw 5%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 4.3 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.

Over 2.5 goals — 78%, both teams to score — 55%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Bayern München are about 2.6 goals per match stronger.
  • Bayern München are 484 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: Bayern München — No. 1, 18 pts; 1. FC Köln — No. 13, 9 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
  • Bayern München: unbeaten in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: Bayern München 5 wins, 1. FC Köln 0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Bayern München — 1. FC Köln What is xG?3.5–0.8
Bayern München not to lose99%
1. FC Köln not to lose6%
No draw95%
Both teams to score: yes55%
Both teams to score: no45%
Total over 2.578%
Total under 2.522%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Bayern München
  • Bayern München goals
  • 1. FC Köln goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatBayern München1. FC Köln
Goals scored per match3.51.6
Goals conceded per match1.31.3
xG per match3.431.70
Opponents’ xG0.971.39
Shots22.615.3
On target8.85.1
Corners7.75.6
Cards1.21.8
Possession, %6254

Averages per match: Bayern München — the last 10, 1. FC Köln — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Bayern München

  • 03.11away · Atlético Madrid2:0
  • 31.10Borussia Dortmund2:2
  • 28.10Magdeburg6:1
  • 25.10away · Freiburg3:1
  • 21.10Arsenal2:2

1. FC Köln

  • 01.11away · Union Berlin1:1
  • 27.10Union Berlin5:0
  • 24.10Schalke 040:0
  • 16.10away · Eintracht Frankfurt0:1
  • 11.10Borussia Mönchengladbach2:1

Head to head

  • 16.05.2026Bayern München — 1. FC Köln5:1
  • 14.01.20261. FC Köln — Bayern München1:3
  • 29.10.20251. FC Köln — Bayern München1:4
  • 13.04.2024Bayern München — 1. FC Köln2:0
  • 24.11.20231. FC Köln — Bayern München0:1

Full record: 17 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, Champions LeagueBayern München853027–8+1918
2, Champions LeagueBorussia Dortmund853014–6+818
12Hoffenheim830514–16-29
131. FC Köln82339–12-39
14Paderborn82336–9-39

Season 2026/27

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 94% will not happen in roughly 6 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →